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Fed Holds at 3.50–3.75%: Bond Markets Navigate a 16-Month Rate Pause

May 11, 2026April 29, 2026 by Bruno

The FOMC’s April 29 decision leaves the federal funds rate unchanged for a 16th consecutive month, as Treasury yields hold firm and corporate borrowers weigh their next move.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, corporate bonds, federal reserve rate hold, fomc april 2026, treasury yields 2026 Leave a comment

US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields

April 26, 2026 by Bruno

The US must roll over ~$10 trillion in Treasury debt in 2026 at yields far higher than original issue. What auction data and foreign holder trends reveal.

Categories Market Trend Tags bond market, capital markets, federal debt, treasury bonds, treasury yields, us debt rollover Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Path: Bond Markets Brace for Shift

April 26, 2026 by Bruno

Senate Banking Committee votes this week on Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination. Bond markets are already pricing a hawkish shift — here’s what capital markets are watching.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds

April 22, 2026April 20, 2026 by Bruno

Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment

The Yield Curve Is Steepening: What It Signals in 2026

April 18, 2026 by Bruno

The 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.25% as the curve re-steepens after years of inversion. What it signals for banks, mortgages, and equities.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fixed income, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

March CPI Cools More Than Expected, Reigniting Rate Cut Bets

April 11, 2026April 10, 2026 by Bruno

March 2026 CPI data came in below forecasts, sending bond yields lower and reviving expectations for Fed rate cuts later this year.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, CPI, federal reserve, inflation Leave a comment

Fed Minutes: Rate Cut Still on Table Despite Iran War Inflation

April 11, 2026April 8, 2026 by Bruno

April FOMC minutes reveal Fed officials still expect a rate cut in 2026, even as the Iran war keeps Brent crude above $120 and stokes inflation fears.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, fomc, interest rates, oil prices Leave a comment

The Market Bottom Isn’t About Iran. It’s About the Fed.

April 7, 2026 by Bruno

Everyone’s watching the Strait of Hormuz. The market’s real signal is hiding in the bond market. Here’s what actually tells you when stocks have found a floor.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, Fed rate cut, federal reserve, interest rates, Iran war, market bottom, stock market, treasury yields, Wall Street Leave a comment
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