Junk Bonds Beat Long Treasuries in 2026: What Credit Markets Signal
High yield bonds have delivered 9% one-year returns while long-duration Treasuries struggle near breakeven. Here’s what the 2026 credit divergence means.
bond market
Fed’s 8-4 Split Forces Bond Traders to Hedge Both Ways
The April 29 FOMC meeting ended in an 8-4 split — the Fed’s most divided vote in years, with dissenters on both sides. Here’s what it means for Treasury yields.
The Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Inversion, and What It Signals
Learn how the yield curve works, why it inverts, and what historical inversions have meant for the US economy — with verified current Treasury yield data from the Federal Reserve.
Fed Holds at 3.50–3.75%: Bond Markets Navigate a 16-Month Rate Pause
The FOMC’s April 29 decision leaves the federal funds rate unchanged for a 16th consecutive month, as Treasury yields hold firm and corporate borrowers weigh their next move.
US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields
The US must roll over ~$10 trillion in Treasury debt in 2026 at yields far higher than original issue. What auction data and foreign holder trends reveal.
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Path: Bond Markets Brace for Shift
Senate Banking Committee votes this week on Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination. Bond markets are already pricing a hawkish shift — here’s what capital markets are watching.
Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds
Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.
The Yield Curve Is Steepening: What It Signals in 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.25% as the curve re-steepens after years of inversion. What it signals for banks, mortgages, and equities.
March CPI Cools More Than Expected, Reigniting Rate Cut Bets
March 2026 CPI data came in below forecasts, sending bond yields lower and reviving expectations for Fed rate cuts later this year.
Fed Minutes: Rate Cut Still on Table Despite Iran War Inflation
April FOMC minutes reveal Fed officials still expect a rate cut in 2026, even as the Iran war keeps Brent crude above $120 and stokes inflation fears.