How Mortgage Rates Are Set: 10-Year Treasury + Spread
30-year mortgage rates aren’t tied to the Fed’s rate. They track the 10-year Treasury plus a mortgage spread. Here’s how the math works.
30-year mortgage rates aren’t tied to the Fed’s rate. They track the 10-year Treasury plus a mortgage spread. Here’s how the math works.
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.025% on May 4, 2026 — crossing a key threshold. Here’s what the curve’s steepest gap since 2022 signals for rates, mortgages, and capital markets.
U.S. existing home sales fell 3.6% in March—far worse than the 0.7% consensus estimate. What the miss means for homebuilder stocks, REITs, and mortgage markets.
Mortgage rates have climbed back above 6.5%, buyer confidence is in freefall, and America’s usually-reliable spring selling season is quietly falling apart. The Iran conflict isn’t just an oil story anymore.