Dow Drops 328 Points as 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Oil Climbs
The Dow dropped 328.09 points to 52,093.11 on Sept. 15 as the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% and crude oil surged above ahead of the Fed rate decision.
treasury yields
The 4 Yield Curve Shifts: Bull vs. Bear Steepeners & Flatteners
Understand the four yield curve regimes: bull steepener, bear steepener, bull flattener, and bear flattener, what drives them, and how they impact markets.
Jobs Blowout: 162K Hires Force Fed Rate-Hike Bets Back
US employers added 162,000 jobs in August, more than double consensus. Treasury yields ripped and September rate-cut bets flipped to potential hikes.
Bond Duration and Convexity Explained: How Prices Move
Duration tells you how much a bond’s price will move for a 1% change in yields. Convexity refines the estimate for big moves. Here’s how both actually work.
September FOMC Preview: Three Hawks Meet Friday’s Jobs Report
Fed dot plot lands Sept 15-16 with three July dissenters wanting hikes and the 30-year at 5.27%. Friday’s jobs report is the last read before the vote.
Warsh at Jackson Hole: 10-Year Jumps to 4.67% on Hawkish Turn
Chairman Warsh called inflation the Fed’s ‘predominant focus’ at Jackson Hole 2026, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.67% and shrinking near-term rate-cut bets.
Yield Curve Inversion Explained: The Recession Signal
Why an inverted yield curve preceded every US recession since 1969, what the 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads measure, and the 2022 inversion that broke the pattern.
Bond Market Undoes Treasury’s Buyback Fix in 48 Hours
Bessent’s doubled long-end buybacks pulled the 10Y from 4.72% to 4.65% in a session. More than half the rally was gone by the next close.
Global 30Y Yields Surge: US 5.31%, UK 5.83%, Japan 4.13%
Long-dated sovereign yields hit multi-year highs across the US, UK, Germany, and Japan in mid-August 2026 as buyers demand more term premium.
Chip Stocks -5% as Bond Yields Bite: MU -7%, AMD -4%
Semiconductors led a tech rout Aug 18 as the 10-year yield sat near 4.72%. Micron -7%, AMD -4.3%, SOX -4.98% — while Apple and Microsoft actually rose.