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30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High

April 25, 2026 by Bruno

The 30-year Treasury hovers near 5% as foreign buyers pull back, Iran’s Strait of Hormuz crisis adds volatility, and the term premium makes a structural comeback. Here’s what it means for every borrower.

Categories Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

The Yield Curve Explained: What It Signals About the Economy

April 24, 2026April 24, 2026 by Bruno

What the U.S. Treasury yield curve is, how to read it, what inversion means, and why every recession since 1955 was preceded by one.

Categories Economy & Macro, Market Education, Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, education, Fed, recession, treasury yields, yield curve Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds

April 22, 2026April 20, 2026 by Bruno

Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment

The Yield Curve Is Steepening: What It Signals in 2026

April 18, 2026 by Bruno

The 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.25% as the curve re-steepens after years of inversion. What it signals for banks, mortgages, and equities.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fixed income, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

Gold Tops $4,800: What the Record Rally Signals

April 17, 2026April 16, 2026 by Bruno

Gold has surged past $4,800 per ounce to historic highs in 2026. Here is what is driving the record rally and what it signals for capital markets.

Categories Energy & Commodities Tags capital markets, commodities, gold, safe haven assets, treasury yields Leave a comment

Foreign Investors Are Selling US Treasuries: What It Means for 2026

April 17, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries are declining as trade tensions escalate. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what it means for yields, the dollar, and American borrowers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, fixed income, trade war, treasury yields Leave a comment

Tariff Revenue Down 30%: The Bond Market Math That Matters

April 17, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

U.S. tariff collections fell $4B in March alone and are now down 30% since October. Here’s what that means for the federal deficit and Treasury yields.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal deficit, tariffs, treasury yields Leave a comment

March PPI Cools: What It Means for Fed Rates and Bonds

April 17, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

March 2026 PPI rose just 0.5% vs 1.1% expected. Here’s what the wholesale inflation surprise means for Fed policy and bond markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, inflation, interest rates, PPI, treasury yields Leave a comment

Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets

April 14, 2026 by Bruno

The Fed’s Goolsbee signals rate cuts may wait until 2027 as March PPI hits a 3-year high. Here’s what the pause means for bonds and borrowing costs.

Categories Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears

April 14, 2026 by Bruno

Money markets repriced Fed rate-cut odds from below 10% to 40% as US-Iran peace talk optimism sent oil prices lower. Here is what bond investors need to know.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, oil prices, treasury yields Leave a comment
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