Yield Curve Explained: What Inversion Really Means
What the yield curve is, why inversion has preceded every US recession since 1970, and how to read the current US Treasury curve as of June 1, 2026.
treasury yields
2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts
The US 2-year Treasury yield is near a 52-week high at 4.07% as traders price out Fed rate cuts for the rest of 2026.
Russell 2000 Drops 2.4% as Long Yields Slam Small Caps
Small-cap stocks led Friday’s selloff with the Russell 2000 down 2.4% as rising Treasury yields rekindled fears about leverage, refinancing, and unprofitable balance sheets.
30-Year Treasury Hits 5.13% as Long Bonds Sell Off Worldwide
U.S. 30-year yield closed at 5.128% on May 15, 2026 — highest since May 2025. UK, German and Japanese long bonds are also at or near 52-week highs. What broke.
Fed’s Miran Resigns, Handing Trump a Fresh Board Vacancy
Stephen Miran resigned from the Federal Reserve Board on May 14, 2026, giving President Trump another seat to fill ahead of the June FOMC.
Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Forces, and Inversion
A plain-English guide to the Treasury yield curve: what it is, the four shapes, why it can invert, and what each shape says about the economy.
Bond Markets Warn as U.S. Debt Approaches $39 Trillion
The U.S. government is forced to issue more debt than projected as cash flows weaken — and long-term Treasury yields are holding stubbornly high in a dynamic analysts call unprecedented since 1990.
Junk Bonds Beat Long Treasuries in 2026: What Credit Markets Signal
High yield bonds have delivered 9% one-year returns while long-duration Treasuries struggle near breakeven. Here’s what the 2026 credit divergence means.
Fed’s 8-4 Split Forces Bond Traders to Hedge Both Ways
The April 29 FOMC meeting ended in an 8-4 split — the Fed’s most divided vote in years, with dissenters on both sides. Here’s what it means for Treasury yields.
30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High
The 30-year Treasury yield stands at 4.987% on April 30, 2026 — nearly 5% — as term premium surges on sticky inflation, rising supply, and fading foreign demand for US debt.