The Yield Curve: What It Is and Why Inversion Matters
Understand the yield curve, what causes inversions, and why they have preceded every U.S. recession since 1955. Includes today’s snapshot.
treasury bonds
US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields
The US must roll over ~$10 trillion in Treasury debt in 2026 at yields far higher than original issue. What auction data and foreign holder trends reveal.
IMF Warns U.S. Debt Is Eroding the Treasury Safe-Haven Premium
The IMF says runaway U.S. debt is eliminating the traditional safety premium on Treasury bonds — and the implications stretch far beyond fixed income.