U.S. FY 2026 Deficit Reaches $1.99T as Interest Tops $1.05T
The U.S. budget deficit reached $1.992 trillion in fiscal 2026 as net interest costs topped $1.05 trillion, intensifying Treasury issuance and yield pressures.
Economy & Macro
Explore inflation, employment, growth and other economic developments that shape financial markets. Find context for economic releases and explanations of commonly used indicators. Find your way around ECMSource.
Bank of America Hit With $1.2B Penalty Over AML Failures
U.S. regulators fined Bank of America over $1.2 billion for anti-money laundering failures, triggering a 17-cent per share hit to Q3 earnings.
Fed Consumer Survey: Heavy Debt Burdens Jump to 8.6% of Families
The Fed’s 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances reveals debt payment-to-income ratios above 40% surged to 8.6%, signaling strain across consumer ABS and credit.
30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit 7.40% as Treasury Yields Climb
Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows 30-year fixed mortgage rates jumped to 7.40% on October 8, 2026, driven by higher 10-year Treasury yields.
Fed Minutes Flag AI Debt Surge Lifting Treasury Yields
FOMC minutes reveal that heavy AI infrastructure debt issuance and Treasury buyback uncertainty contributed to higher term premiums and bond yields.
30-Year Mortgage Rates Cross 7% as 10-Year Treasury Hits 5%
30-year fixed mortgage rates jumped back above 7% as the 10-year Treasury touched 5% and MBS spreads widened. Here is what is driving borrowing costs.
The Buffett Indicator: What It Measures and When It Fails
The Buffett Indicator compares total stock market value to GDP. Here is how the formula works, historical valuation tiers, and why the ratio can mislead.
10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5%: Inside BofA’s Bond Call
As the 10-year Treasury yield clears 5.00%, Bank of America calls the century-worst bond slump a generational entry point for patient capital.
Bank of England Holds at 3.75%: Gilts Slide on 6-3 Split
The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, defying the Fed’s rate hike. Benchmark 10-year and 30-year gilt yields tumbled as markets weighed inflation.
10-Year Treasury Hits 4.98% as $6B Buyback Demand Plunges
The 10-year Treasury yield neared 5% on Sept. 14 as Treasury’s expanded $6B buyback logged a record-low 1.7x cover, rattling debt markets ahead of the Fed.