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Economy & Macro

Explore inflation, employment, growth and other economic developments that shape financial markets. Find context for economic releases and explanations of commonly used indicators. Find your way around ECMSource.

30-Year Mortgage Rates Cross 7% as 10-Year Treasury Hits 5%

September 19, 2026 by Bruno
AI-generated editorial image: rolled architectural home blueprint with brass drafting compass on oak worktable in morning window light

30-year fixed mortgage rates jumped back above 7% as the 10-year Treasury touched 5% and MBS spreads widened. Here is what is driving borrowing costs.

Categories Bonds & Fixed Income, Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags 10-year treasury yield, capital markets, federal reserve rate cut, mortgage rates today, mortgage-backed securities

The Buffett Indicator: What It Measures and When It Fails

September 19, 2026 by Bruno
AI-generated editorial image: Vintage ledger notebook, wooden fountain pen, and brass lamp on a dark oak desk representing long-term fundamental financial analysis

The Buffett Indicator compares total stock market value to GDP. Here is how the formula works, historical valuation tiers, and why the ratio can mislead.

Categories Economy & Macro, Market Education Tags buffett indicator, investing basics, market cap to gdp, stock valuation, warren buffett

10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5%: Inside BofA’s Bond Call

September 18, 2026 by Bruno
AI-generated editorial image: Neoclassical stone facade of an institutional Treasury building under soft overcast light

As the 10-year Treasury yield clears 5.00%, Bank of America calls the century-worst bond slump a generational entry point for patient capital.

Categories Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Trend Tags 10-year treasury, Bank of America, bond market, capital markets, treasury yields

Bank of England Holds at 3.75%: Gilts Slide on 6-3 Split

September 18, 2026 by Bruno
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The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, defying the Fed’s rate hike. Benchmark 10-year and 30-year gilt yields tumbled as markets weighed inflation.

Categories Bonds & Fixed Income, Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bank of england, capital markets, central bank divergence, gilt yields, interest rate decision, sovereign debt

10-Year Treasury Hits 4.98% as $6B Buyback Demand Plunges

September 14, 2026September 14, 2026 by Bruno
AI-generated editorial image: Restrained limestone exterior colonnade of a government financial institution building in morning daylight

The 10-year Treasury yield neared 5% on Sept. 14 as Treasury’s expanded $6B buyback logged a record-low 1.7x cover, rattling debt markets ahead of the Fed.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags 10-year treasury yield, capital markets, fomc rate decision, scott bessent, treasury buybacks, us bond market

Yankee, Samurai, Kangaroo: Foreign Bonds Explained

September 17, 2026August 22, 2026 by Bruno
Yankee, Samurai, Kangaroo: Foreign Bonds Explained

Yankee, Samurai, Kangaroo, Panda, Dim Sum — a field guide to foreign-currency bonds: what each is, where it trades, who regulates it, and why issuers use them.

Categories China, Economy & Macro, Market Education Tags bond market, capital markets, foreign bonds, kangaroo bond, samurai bond, yankee bond

Coca-Cola Taps Bankers for $1B India Bottler IPO

September 17, 2026July 2, 2026 by Bruno
Coca-Cola Taps Bankers for $1B India Bottler IPO

Coca-Cola has invited Kotak, HDFC and Citi to pitch on a $1B IPO of Hindustan Coca-Cola Holdings at a ~$10B valuation, targeting a 2027 BSE/NSE listing.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags capital markets, coca-cola india ipo, hindustan coca-cola holdings, india ipo market 2027, jubilant bhartia group, mnc subsidiary listing

Argentina Bonds Rally as S&P Lifts Sovereign Rating to B-

September 17, 2026June 11, 2026 by Bruno
Argentina Bonds Rally as S&P Lifts Sovereign Rating to B-

S&P upgraded Argentina to B- on June 10, 2026 — the first time the country has carried a single-B rating since August 2019. The 2035 notes jumped to 78.9 cents.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags argentina milei fiscal surplus, argentina sovereign bonds, capital markets, emerging market debt, s&p credit rating upgrade

172k Jobs, $1T Wiped: Nasdaq’s Worst Week in a Year

September 12, 2026June 5, 2026 by Bruno
172k Jobs, $1T Wiped: Nasdaq’s Worst Week in a Year

A hot May payrolls print pushed Fed rate cuts off the table and triggered a 10.4% single-day SOXX collapse, dragging Nasdaq to its worst week in a year.

Categories Economy & Macro, Technology Tags AI stocks, federal reserve, jobs report, nasdaq selloff, semiconductor stocks, stock market

Howard Davies-Led J.C. Flowers Buys Monte Paschi’s French Arm

September 17, 2026June 2, 2026 by Bruno
Howard Davies-Led J.C. Flowers Buys Monte Paschi’s French Arm

J.C. Flowers acquires Monte Paschi’s French lending arm; Howard Davies takes the chair as BMPS streamlines post-Mediobanca.

Categories Economy & Macro, Market Trend Tags bank m&a, capital markets, european banks, jc flowers, monte paschi, private equity
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