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Federal Reserve & Rates

Kevin Warsh Inherits a Split FOMC and 4.97% Long Bond

June 6, 2026June 6, 2026 by Bruno

Kevin Warsh took the oath as Fed chair on May 22, 2026, inheriting an 8-4 FOMC and a 30-year Treasury near 5%. June 16-17 is his first meeting.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, Fed policy, federal reserve chair, fomc, Kevin Warsh, treasury yields Leave a comment

Fed Revives ‘Payment Account’ Plan; Tier 3 Reviews Paused

May 31, 2026May 29, 2026 by Bruno

The Fed re-proposed a limited ‘payment account’ for non-bank fintechs and novel-charter institutions, freezing Tier 3 master-account reviews.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed master account, fintech regulation, narrow banks, tier 3 institutions Leave a comment

Fed’s Bank CFO Surveys: Reserves Still ‘Ample’ at $3.10T

May 25, 2026May 21, 2026 by Bruno

Fed released two Senior Financial Officer Surveys May 14: bank CFOs weighed in on reserves and discount window operating days as $3.10T sits at the Fed.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bank reserves, capital markets, federal reserve, money markets, quantitative tightening Leave a comment

Fed Floats ‘Payment Accounts’ to Let Fintechs Onto Its Rails

May 22, 2026May 21, 2026 by Bruno

Fed proposes a new ‘payment account’ for fintechs: direct payment rails, no intraday credit, no IORB, hard balance caps. 60-day comment period.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, custodia bank, federal reserve, fintech regulation, master account, payment accounts Leave a comment

Fed Minutes: ‘Many’ Wanted Easing Bias Out as PCE Hit 3.5%

May 22, 2026May 20, 2026 by Bruno

April FOMC minutes show a hawkish tilt: Miran dissented for a cut, while many wanted the easing-bias language gone as March PCE hit 3.5%.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed funds rate, federal reserve, fomc minutes, pce inflation, stephen miran dissent Leave a comment

2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts

May 22, 2026May 18, 2026 by Bruno

The US 2-year Treasury yield is near a 52-week high at 4.07% as traders price out Fed rate cuts for the rest of 2026.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags 2-year treasury yield, bond market, capital markets, treasury yields, yardeni research Leave a comment

QE vs QT: How the Fed Balance Sheet Actually Works

May 22, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno

A plain-English guide to how the Fed creates reserves to buy bonds (QE) and lets them mature to shrink the balance sheet (QT), with 2026 numbers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Education Tags fed balance sheet, federal reserve, investing basics, monetary policy, quantitative easing, quantitative tightening Leave a comment

Russell 2000 Drops 2.4% as Long Yields Slam Small Caps

May 22, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno

Small-cap stocks led Friday’s selloff with the Russell 2000 down 2.4% as rising Treasury yields rekindled fears about leverage, refinancing, and unprofitable balance sheets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Trend, Stock Market Tags interest rates, russell 2000, stock market, stock market selloff, treasury yields Leave a comment

Bond Duration & Convexity: Why Long Bonds Move Most

May 22, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno

What is bond duration? A plain-English guide with the rule of thumb, the formula, and a worked example using current Treasury yields.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Education Tags bond duration, convexity, fixed income basics, interest rate risk, investing basics 3 Comments

30-Year Treasury Hits 5.13% as Long Bonds Sell Off Worldwide

May 22, 2026May 16, 2026 by Bruno

U.S. 30-year yield closed at 5.128% on May 15, 2026 — highest since May 2025. UK, German and Japanese long bonds are also at or near 52-week highs. What broke.

Categories Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags 30-year treasury yield, bear steepener, bond market selloff, capital markets, gilt yields, treasury yields 1 Comment
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