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30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High

April 25, 2026 by Bruno

The 30-year Treasury hovers near 5% as foreign buyers pull back, Iran’s Strait of Hormuz crisis adds volatility, and the term premium makes a structural comeback. Here’s what it means for every borrower.

Categories Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

AI’s 10% GDP Promise: What Capital Markets Are Already Pricing In

April 24, 2026April 23, 2026 by Bruno

BNP Paribas projects AI could lift U.S. GDP by more than 10% by 2034. Here’s what that forecast means for investors, interest rates, and capital markets right now.

Categories Stock Market Tags artificial intelligence, capital markets, federal reserve, GDP growth, investing, productivity Leave a comment

Oil at $100: Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Crisis Hits Capital Markets

April 22, 2026 by Bruno

Brent crude topped $100 as Iranian gunboats threaten the Strait of Hormuz. Here’s what the oil shock means for energy debt, sovereign bonds, and Fed policy.

Categories Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, emerging markets, energy, federal reserve, Iran, oil markets Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds

April 22, 2026April 20, 2026 by Bruno

Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment

Stagflation 2026: The Warning Signs Capital Markets Can’t Ignore

April 22, 2026April 19, 2026 by Bruno

Sticky 3.3% inflation, oil price shocks, and a Fed frozen on rate cuts are reviving stagflation fears not seen since the 1970s. Here’s what capital markets are signaling.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, inflation, macroeconomics, stagflation Leave a comment

The AI Hiring Freeze: What the Fed’s Beige Book Reveals

April 17, 2026April 17, 2026 by Bruno

Fed’s Beige Book reveals AI productivity is shrinking corporate hiring — what it means for rate policy, bond markets, and equity valuations.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags AI economy, bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, labor market, monetary policy, productivity Leave a comment

The Mortgage Lock-In Effect: Why Millions Won’t Move

April 17, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Over half of U.S. homeowners hold COVID-era mortgages at sub-4% rates. How this lock-in is reshaping housing supply, MBS markets, and Fed policy in 2026.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, federal reserve, fixed income, housing finance, mortgage market Leave a comment

The Next Fed Chair: What Capital Markets Face After Powell

April 17, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Jerome Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026. With 30 days left, capital markets are weighing what comes next for interest rates, bonds, and the dollar.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy Leave a comment

Foreign Investors Are Selling US Treasuries: What It Means for 2026

April 17, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries are declining as trade tensions escalate. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what it means for yields, the dollar, and American borrowers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, fixed income, trade war, treasury yields Leave a comment

Consumer Confidence Hits an All-Time Low: What UMich’s 47.6 Reading Means for Capital Markets

April 17, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic 47.6 in April 2026 — the worst reading ever recorded. Here is what it signals for bond markets, equity sectors, and Fed policy.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags bond markets, capital markets, consumer confidence, federal reserve, inflation, UMich sentiment Leave a comment
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