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BoJ at 0.75% Meets the Fed at 3.625%: The Yen Trade Explained

May 15, 2026May 15, 2026 by Bruno

The widest policy-rate gap between Washington and Tokyo since the 1990s is keeping the yen on the back foot. Here is what the May 2026 capital markets picture looks like.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bank of japan, capital markets, federal reserve, fx intervention, yield differential Leave a comment

Repo and Reverse Repo Explained: The Plumbing of Short-Term Finance

May 11, 2026 by Bruno

Repos and reverse repos move trillions of dollars daily. Learn how repurchase agreements work, what the Fed’s RRP facility does, and why it matters to markets.

Categories Market Education Tags bond market, federal reserve, investing basics, repo market, SOFR Leave a comment

How the Fed Sets Interest Rates — and Why It Moves Markets

May 11, 2026May 10, 2026 by Bruno

Inside the FOMC: how the Fed targets the federal funds rate, how QE and QT work, and why each decision ripples through stocks, bonds, and mortgages.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags federal reserve, fomc, interest rates, investing basics, monetary policy, quantitative easing Leave a comment

Fed’s 8-4 Split Forces Bond Traders to Hedge Both Ways

May 7, 2026May 2, 2026 by Bruno

The April 29 FOMC meeting ended in an 8-4 split — the Fed’s most divided vote in years, with dissenters on both sides. Here’s what it means for Treasury yields.

Categories Capital Markets Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, fomc dissent, interest rate risk, treasury yields Leave a comment

30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High

May 7, 2026May 1, 2026 by Bruno

The 30-year Treasury yield stands at 4.987% on April 30, 2026 — nearly 5% — as term premium surges on sticky inflation, rising supply, and fading foreign demand for US debt.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Path: Bond Markets Brace for Shift

April 26, 2026 by Bruno

Senate Banking Committee votes this week on Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination. Bond markets are already pricing a hawkish shift — here’s what capital markets are watching.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment

30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High

April 25, 2026 by Bruno

The 30-year Treasury hovers near 5% as foreign buyers pull back, Iran’s Strait of Hormuz crisis adds volatility, and the term premium makes a structural comeback. Here’s what it means for every borrower.

Categories Stock Market Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields Leave a comment

AI’s 10% GDP Promise: What Capital Markets Are Already Pricing In

April 24, 2026April 23, 2026 by Bruno

BNP Paribas projects AI could lift U.S. GDP by more than 10% by 2034. Here’s what that forecast means for investors, interest rates, and capital markets right now.

Categories Stock Market Tags artificial intelligence, capital markets, federal reserve, GDP growth, investing, productivity Leave a comment

Oil at $100: Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Crisis Hits Capital Markets

May 11, 2026April 22, 2026 by Bruno

Brent crude topped $100 as Iranian gunboats threaten the Strait of Hormuz. Here’s what the oil shock means for energy debt, sovereign bonds, and Fed policy.

Categories Energy & Commodities, Geopolitics & Markets Tags bonds, capital markets, emerging markets, energy, federal reserve, Iran, oil markets Leave a comment

Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds

April 22, 2026April 20, 2026 by Bruno

Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields Leave a comment
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