Yield Curve Explained: What Inversion Really Means
What the yield curve is, why inversion has preceded every US recession since 1970, and how to read the current US Treasury curve as of June 1, 2026.
bond market
2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts
The US 2-year Treasury yield is near a 52-week high at 4.07% as traders price out Fed rate cuts for the rest of 2026.
How Treasury Auctions Work: Bid-to-Cover and Tails
How the U.S. Treasury actually raises money: single-price auctions, competitive vs noncompetitive bids, primary dealers, and what tails reveal.
Municipal Bonds Explained: GO vs Revenue and the Tax Angle
Plain-English guide to municipal bonds: GO vs revenue, how the federal tax exemption changes your real yield, and why munis default less than corporates.
Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Forces, and Inversion
A plain-English guide to the Treasury yield curve: what it is, the four shapes, why it can invert, and what each shape says about the economy.
Repo and Reverse Repo Explained: The Plumbing of Short-Term Finance
Repos and reverse repos move trillions of dollars daily. Learn how repurchase agreements work, what the Fed’s RRP facility does, and why it matters to markets.
Bond Markets Warn as U.S. Debt Approaches $39 Trillion
The U.S. government is forced to issue more debt than projected as cash flows weaken — and long-term Treasury yields are holding stubbornly high in a dynamic analysts call unprecedented since 1990.
Norway Hikes to 4.25%: Europe’s Lone Rate Riser in 2026
Norges Bank raised its benchmark rate to 4.25% on May 6, 2026 — the only major European central bank to hike this year — as Norway’s CPI stayed at 3.6%, well above target.
Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs
The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% for a third straight meeting. With the 10-year yield near its 2026 high and investors pricing no cut until late 2027, capital markets face a prolonged high-rate environment.
30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.025% on May 4, 2026 — crossing a key threshold. Here’s what the curve’s steepest gap since 2022 signals for rates, mortgages, and capital markets.