Term Premium Explained: Why Long Bonds Yield Extra
Term premium is the extra yield bonds pay beyond expected short rates. Here’s how the NY Fed measures it and what’s pushing it higher in 2026.
treasury yields
Kevin Warsh Inherits a Split FOMC and 4.97% Long Bond
Kevin Warsh took the oath as Fed chair on May 22, 2026, inheriting an 8-4 FOMC and a 30-year Treasury near 5%. June 16-17 is his first meeting.
Yield Curve Explained: What Inversion Really Means
What the yield curve is, why inversion has preceded every US recession since 1970, and how to read the current US Treasury curve as of June 1, 2026.
2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts
The US 2-year Treasury yield is near a 52-week high at 4.07% as traders price out Fed rate cuts for the rest of 2026.
Russell 2000 Drops 2.4% as Long Yields Slam Small Caps
Small-cap stocks led Friday’s selloff with the Russell 2000 down 2.4% as rising Treasury yields rekindled fears about leverage, refinancing, and unprofitable balance sheets.
30-Year Treasury Hits 5.13% as Long Bonds Sell Off Worldwide
U.S. 30-year yield closed at 5.128% on May 15, 2026 — highest since May 2025. UK, German and Japanese long bonds are also at or near 52-week highs. What broke.
Fed’s Miran Resigns, Handing Trump a Fresh Board Vacancy
Stephen Miran resigned from the Federal Reserve Board on May 14, 2026, giving President Trump another seat to fill ahead of the June FOMC.
Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Forces, and Inversion
A plain-English guide to the Treasury yield curve: what it is, the four shapes, why it can invert, and what each shape says about the economy.
Bond Markets Warn as U.S. Debt Approaches $39 Trillion
The U.S. government is forced to issue more debt than projected as cash flows weaken — and long-term Treasury yields are holding stubbornly high in a dynamic analysts call unprecedented since 1990.
Junk Bonds Beat Long Treasuries in 2026: What Credit Markets Signal
High yield bonds have delivered 9% one-year returns while long-duration Treasuries struggle near breakeven. Here’s what the 2026 credit divergence means.