IMF Warns U.S. Debt Is Eroding the Treasury Safe-Haven Premium
The IMF says runaway U.S. debt is eliminating the traditional safety premium on Treasury bonds — and the implications stretch far beyond fixed income.
Federal Reserve & Rates
Utilities’ $770B Bond Issuance Wave Powers the AI Grid Buildout
U.S. utilities are planning $1.4 trillion in capex to power AI data centers — and financing it means a $770B bond issuance wave that will reshape investment-grade credit markets.
The AI Hiring Freeze: What the Fed’s Beige Book Reveals
Fed’s Beige Book reveals AI productivity is shrinking corporate hiring — what it means for rate policy, bond markets, and equity valuations.
The Mortgage Lock-In Effect: Why Millions Won’t Move
Over half of U.S. homeowners hold COVID-era mortgages at sub-4% rates. How this lock-in is reshaping housing supply, MBS markets, and Fed policy in 2026.
The Next Fed Chair: What Capital Markets Face After Powell
Jerome Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026. With 30 days left, capital markets are weighing what comes next for interest rates, bonds, and the dollar.
Foreign Investors Are Selling US Treasuries: What It Means for 2026
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries are declining as trade tensions escalate. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what it means for yields, the dollar, and American borrowers.
March PPI Cools: What It Means for Fed Rates and Bonds
March 2026 PPI rose just 0.5% vs 1.1% expected. Here’s what the wholesale inflation surprise means for Fed policy and bond markets.
Kevin Warsh at the Fed: What Markets Need to Know Before April 21
Trump’s Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh faces a Senate confirmation hearing April 21. Here’s what his hawkish track record means for rates, bonds, and equities.
Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets
The Fed’s Goolsbee signals rate cuts may wait until 2027 as March PPI hits a 3-year high. Here’s what the pause means for bonds and borrowing costs.
Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears
Money markets repriced Fed rate-cut odds from below 10% to 40% as US-Iran peace talk optimism sent oil prices lower. Here is what bond investors need to know.