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pce inflation

May PCE Hits 4.1%, Highest Since 2023; Hike Odds Jump to 68%

September 12, 2026June 25, 2026 by Bruno
May PCE Hits 4.1%, Highest Since 2023; Hike Odds Jump to 68%

Headline PCE jumped to 4.1% YoY in May, core to 3.4%. September rate-hike odds surged to ~68% from 29% a week ago as Treasury yields wobbled.

Categories Inflation Tags capital markets, core pce, fed funds futures, federal reserve rate hike, pce inflation, treasury yields

Fed Minutes: ‘Many’ Wanted Easing Bias Out as PCE Hit 3.5%

September 12, 2026May 20, 2026 by Bruno
Fed Minutes: ‘Many’ Wanted Easing Bias Out as PCE Hit 3.5%

April FOMC minutes show a hawkish tilt: Miran dissented for a cut, while many wanted the easing-bias language gone as March PCE hit 3.5%.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed funds rate, federal reserve, fomc minutes, pce inflation, stephen miran dissent

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