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Federal Reserve & Rates

Follow Federal Reserve decisions, interest rates and monetary policy. Explore what changes in short-term rates and bond yields mean, with links to original releases and market explainers. Find your way around ECMSource.

Foreign Investors Are Selling US Treasuries: What It Means for 2026

September 12, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries are declining as trade tensions escalate. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what it means for yields, the dollar, and American borrowers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, fixed income, trade war, treasury yields

March PPI Cools: What It Means for Fed Rates and Bonds

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

March 2026 PPI rose just 0.5% vs 1.1% expected. Here’s what the wholesale inflation surprise means for Fed policy and bond markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, inflation, interest rates, PPI, treasury yields

Kevin Warsh at the Fed: What Markets Need to Know Before April 21

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

Trump’s Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh faces a Senate confirmation hearing April 21. Here’s what his hawkish track record means for rates, bonds, and equities.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy

Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno
Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets

The Fed’s Goolsbee signals rate cuts may wait until 2027 as March PPI hits a 3-year high. Here’s what the pause means for bonds and borrowing costs.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields

Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno
Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears

Money markets repriced Fed rate-cut odds from below 10% to 40% as US-Iran peace talk optimism sent oil prices lower. Here is what bond investors need to know.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, oil prices, treasury yields

April CPI Surges 3.3%: What It Means for Rates and Stocks

September 12, 2026April 13, 2026 by Bruno

April CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year with a 0.9% monthly spike—biggest jump since 2022. What it means for the Fed, bonds, and equities.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, inflation, interest rates, stock market

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Stalls — Markets Take Notice

September 12, 2026April 10, 2026 by Bruno
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Stalls — Markets Take Notice

Kevin Warsh’s expected Fed Chair confirmation hearing has been delayed. Here’s what the nomination snag means for bonds, the dollar, and equities.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields

China’s Factory Deflation Ends: What It Means for Bond Markets

September 12, 2026April 10, 2026 by Bruno
China’s Factory Deflation Ends: What It Means for Bond Markets

China’s factory prices turned positive for the first time in 3 years, driven by surging oil. Here’s what that global shift means for bonds and Fed policy.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond markets, capital markets, China, Fed policy, inflation, treasury yields

The Fed’s Next Move Could Be a Rate Hike, Not a Cut

September 12, 2026April 9, 2026 by Bruno
The Fed’s Next Move Could Be a Rate Hike, Not a Cut

Traders now see a Fed rate hike as more likely than a cut. Here’s what Treasury yields, FedWatch data, and bond markets are pricing in for 2026.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields

March Jobs Report: Strong Payrolls Hold Treasury Yields Steady

September 12, 2026April 9, 2026 by Bruno
March Jobs Report: Strong Payrolls Hold Treasury Yields Steady

March’s stronger-than-expected payrolls kept Treasury yields firm, pushing back rate cut timelines as the Fed navigates oil-driven inflation.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, jobs report, treasury yields
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