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treasury yields

The Yield Curve Is Steepening: What It Signals in 2026

September 12, 2026April 18, 2026 by Bruno

The 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.25% as the curve re-steepens after years of inversion. What it signals for banks, mortgages, and equities.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fixed income, interest rates, treasury yields

Gold Tops $4,800: What the Record Rally Signals

September 12, 2026April 16, 2026 by Bruno

Gold has surged past $4,800 per ounce to historic highs in 2026. Here is what is driving the record rally and what it signals for capital markets.

Categories Energy & Commodities Tags capital markets, commodities, gold, safe haven assets, treasury yields

Foreign Investors Are Selling US Treasuries: What It Means for 2026

September 12, 2026April 15, 2026 by Bruno

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries are declining as trade tensions escalate. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what it means for yields, the dollar, and American borrowers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, fixed income, trade war, treasury yields

Tariff Revenue Down 30%: The Bond Market Math That Matters

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

U.S. tariff collections fell $4B in March alone and are now down 30% since October. Here’s what that means for the federal deficit and Treasury yields.

Categories Economy & Macro Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal deficit, tariffs, treasury yields

March PPI Cools: What It Means for Fed Rates and Bonds

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno

March 2026 PPI rose just 0.5% vs 1.1% expected. Here’s what the wholesale inflation surprise means for Fed policy and bond markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, inflation, interest rates, PPI, treasury yields

Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno
Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets

The Fed’s Goolsbee signals rate cuts may wait until 2027 as March PPI hits a 3-year high. Here’s what the pause means for bonds and borrowing costs.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bonds, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, treasury yields

Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears

September 12, 2026April 14, 2026 by Bruno
Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears

Money markets repriced Fed rate-cut odds from below 10% to 40% as US-Iran peace talk optimism sent oil prices lower. Here is what bond investors need to know.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond markets, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, oil prices, treasury yields

The Tariff Revenue Slump: A Warning Signal for Bond Markets

September 12, 2026April 13, 2026 by Bruno
The Tariff Revenue Slump: A Warning Signal for Bond Markets

US tariff revenue fell 30% since October to $22 billion in March. Here’s what the shortfall means for the deficit, Treasury supply, and bond yields.

Categories Capital Markets Tags bond markets, capital markets, fiscal policy, fixed income, tariffs, treasury yields, US deficit

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Stalls — Markets Take Notice

September 12, 2026April 10, 2026 by Bruno
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Stalls — Markets Take Notice

Kevin Warsh’s expected Fed Chair confirmation hearing has been delayed. Here’s what the nomination snag means for bonds, the dollar, and equities.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields

China’s Factory Deflation Ends: What It Means for Bond Markets

September 12, 2026April 10, 2026 by Bruno
China’s Factory Deflation Ends: What It Means for Bond Markets

China’s factory prices turned positive for the first time in 3 years, driven by surging oil. Here’s what that global shift means for bonds and Fed policy.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond markets, capital markets, China, Fed policy, inflation, treasury yields
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