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Federal Reserve & Rates

Follow Federal Reserve decisions, interest rates and monetary policy. Explore what changes in short-term rates and bond yields mean, with links to original releases and market explainers. Find your way around ECMSource.

Kevin Warsh Inherits a Split FOMC and 4.97% Long Bond

September 12, 2026June 6, 2026 by Bruno M.
Kevin Warsh Inherits a Split FOMC and 4.97% Long Bond

Kevin Warsh took the oath as Fed chair on May 22, 2026, inheriting an 8-4 FOMC and a 30-year Treasury near 5%. June 16-17 is his first meeting.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, Fed policy, federal reserve chair, fomc, Kevin Warsh, treasury yields

Fed Revives ‘Payment Account’ Plan; Tier 3 Reviews Paused

September 12, 2026May 29, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed Revives ‘Payment Account’ Plan; Tier 3 Reviews Paused

The Fed re-proposed a limited ‘payment account’ for non-bank fintechs and novel-charter institutions, freezing Tier 3 master-account reviews.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed master account, fintech regulation, narrow banks, tier 3 institutions

Fed’s Bank CFO Surveys: Reserves Still ‘Ample’ at $3.10T

September 12, 2026May 21, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed’s Bank CFO Surveys: Reserves Still ‘Ample’ at $3.10T

Fed released two Senior Financial Officer Surveys May 14: bank CFOs weighed in on reserves and discount window operating days as $3.10T sits at the Fed.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bank reserves, capital markets, federal reserve, money markets, quantitative tightening

Fed Floats ‘Payment Accounts’ to Let Fintechs Onto Its Rails

September 12, 2026May 21, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed Floats ‘Payment Accounts’ to Let Fintechs Onto Its Rails

Fed proposes a new ‘payment account’ for fintechs: direct payment rails, no intraday credit, no IORB, hard balance caps. 60-day comment period.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, custodia bank, federal reserve, fintech regulation, master account, payment accounts

Fed Minutes: ‘Many’ Wanted Easing Bias Out as PCE Hit 3.5%

September 12, 2026May 20, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed Minutes: ‘Many’ Wanted Easing Bias Out as PCE Hit 3.5%

April FOMC minutes show a hawkish tilt: Miran dissented for a cut, while many wanted the easing-bias language gone as March PCE hit 3.5%.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed funds rate, federal reserve, fomc minutes, pce inflation, stephen miran dissent

2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts

September 12, 2026May 18, 2026 by Bruno M.
2-Year Treasury Tests 4.10% as Markets Erase 2026 Fed Cuts

The US 2-year Treasury yield is near a 52-week high at 4.07% as traders price out Fed rate cuts for the rest of 2026.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags 2-year treasury yield, bond market, capital markets, treasury yields, yardeni research

QE vs QT: How the Fed Balance Sheet Actually Works

September 12, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno M.
QE vs QT: How the Fed Balance Sheet Actually Works

A plain-English guide to how the Fed creates reserves to buy bonds (QE) and lets them mature to shrink the balance sheet (QT), with 2026 numbers.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Education Tags fed balance sheet, federal reserve, investing basics, monetary policy, quantitative easing, quantitative tightening

Russell 2000 Drops 2.4% as Long Yields Slam Small Caps

October 27, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno M.
Russell 2000 Drops 2.4% as Long Yields Slam Small Caps

Small-cap stocks led Friday’s selloff with the Russell 2000 down 2.4% as rising Treasury yields rekindled fears about leverage, refinancing, and unprofitable balance sheets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Trend, Stock Market Tags interest rates, russell 2000, stock market, stock market selloff, treasury yields

Bond Duration & Convexity: Why Long Bonds Move Most

October 30, 2026May 17, 2026 by Bruno M.
Bond Duration & Convexity: Why Long Bonds Move Most

What is bond duration? A plain-English guide with the rule of thumb, the formula, and a worked example using current Treasury yields.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Education Tags bond duration, convexity, fixed income basics, interest rate risk, investing basics

30-Year Treasury Hits 5.13% as Long Bonds Sell Off Worldwide

September 12, 2026May 16, 2026 by Bruno M.
30-Year Treasury Hits 5.13% as Long Bonds Sell Off Worldwide

U.S. 30-year yield closed at 5.128% on May 15, 2026 — highest since May 2025. UK, German and Japanese long bonds are also at or near 52-week highs. What broke.

Categories Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags 30-year treasury yield, bear steepener, bond market selloff, capital markets, gilt yields, treasury yields
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