BoJ at 0.75% Meets the Fed at 3.625%: The Yen Trade Explained
The widest policy-rate gap between Washington and Tokyo since the 1990s is keeping the yen on the back foot. Here is what the May 2026 capital markets picture looks like.
Federal Reserve & Rates
Follow Federal Reserve decisions, interest rates and monetary policy. Explore what changes in short-term rates and bond yields mean, with links to original releases and market explainers. Find your way around ECMSource.
April CPI Rises to 3.7%, Pushing Bond Yields Higher as Fed Cuts Fade
April CPI surged to 3.7% year-over-year, sending the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.41% and dimming hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.
Wall Street Braces for April CPI: Inflation Seen at 3.7%
April 2026 CPI data drops Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect inflation to hit 3.7%—the highest since September 2023—driven by Iran-related energy costs and tariff pass-throughs.
How the Fed Sets Interest Rates — and Why It Moves Markets
Inside the FOMC: how the Fed targets the federal funds rate, how QE and QT work, and why each decision ripples through stocks, bonds, and mortgages.
Norway Hikes to 4.25%: Europe’s Lone Rate Riser in 2026
Norges Bank raised its benchmark rate to 4.25% on May 6, 2026 — the only major European central bank to hike this year — as Norway’s CPI stayed at 3.6%, well above target.
Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs
The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% for a third straight meeting. With the 10-year yield near its 2026 high and investors pricing no cut until late 2027, capital markets face a prolonged high-rate environment.
30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.025% on May 4, 2026 — crossing a key threshold. Here’s what the curve’s steepest gap since 2022 signals for rates, mortgages, and capital markets.
30-Year Treasury Near 5%: The Forces Keeping U.S. Borrowing Costs High
The 30-year Treasury yield stands at 4.987% on April 30, 2026 — nearly 5% — as term premium surges on sticky inflation, rising supply, and fading foreign demand for US debt.
Fed Holds at 3.50–3.75%: Bond Markets Navigate a 16-Month Rate Pause
The FOMC’s April 29 decision leaves the federal funds rate unchanged for a 16th consecutive month, as Treasury yields hold firm and corporate borrowers weigh their next move.
US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields
The US must roll over ~$10 trillion in Treasury debt in 2026 at yields far higher than original issue. What auction data and foreign holder trends reveal.