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Federal Reserve & Rates

Follow Federal Reserve decisions, interest rates and monetary policy. Explore what changes in short-term rates and bond yields mean, with links to original releases and market explainers. Find your way around ECMSource.

Hot 3.8% April CPI Slams AI Stocks; Nasdaq Falls 1.5%

October 27, 2026May 16, 2026 by Bruno M.
Hot 3.8% April CPI Slams AI Stocks; Nasdaq Falls 1.5%

April CPI printed at 3.8% YoY — the hottest reading since May 2023 — knocking the Nasdaq down 1.5% as Nvidia, Intel and Micron led an AI-led selloff.

Categories Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags april cpi, federal reserve, inflation, Nvidia, stock market

Warsh to Take Fed Helm: Powell Named Chair Pro Tempore

September 12, 2026May 16, 2026 by Bruno M.
Warsh to Take Fed Helm: Powell Named Chair Pro Tempore

The Fed named Powell as chair pro tempore on May 15, 2026, until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as the new chair — closing one era and opening another.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed transition, jerome powell, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy

Fed’s Miran Resigns, Handing Trump a Fresh Board Vacancy

September 12, 2026May 15, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed’s Miran Resigns, Handing Trump a Fresh Board Vacancy

Stephen Miran resigned from the Federal Reserve Board on May 14, 2026, giving President Trump another seat to fill ahead of the June FOMC.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags capital markets, fed governor, federal reserve board, stephen miran, treasury yields, trump fed nominee

BoJ at 0.75% Meets the Fed at 3.625%: The Yen Trade Explained

September 12, 2026May 15, 2026 by Bruno M.
BoJ at 0.75% Meets the Fed at 3.625%: The Yen Trade Explained

The widest policy-rate gap between Washington and Tokyo since the 1990s is keeping the yen on the back foot. Here is what the May 2026 capital markets picture looks like.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bank of japan, capital markets, federal reserve, fx intervention, yield differential

April CPI Rises to 3.7%, Pushing Bond Yields Higher as Fed Cuts Fade

September 12, 2026May 12, 2026 by Bruno M.
April CPI Rises to 3.7%, Pushing Bond Yields Higher as Fed Cuts Fade

April CPI surged to 3.7% year-over-year, sending the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.41% and dimming hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.

Categories Economy & Macro, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags april cpi 2026, bond markets, federal reserve rate cuts, inflation

Wall Street Braces for April CPI: Inflation Seen at 3.7%

September 12, 2026May 12, 2026 by Bruno M.
Wall Street Braces for April CPI: Inflation Seen at 3.7%

April 2026 CPI data drops Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect inflation to hit 3.7%—the highest since September 2023—driven by Iran-related energy costs and tariff pass-throughs.

Categories Economy & Macro, Energy & Commodities, Federal Reserve & Rates Tags consumer price index, cpi report, federal reserve rate cut, stock market, tariff inflation

How the Fed Sets Interest Rates — and Why It Moves Markets

September 12, 2026May 10, 2026 by Bruno M.
How the Fed Sets Interest Rates — and Why It Moves Markets

Inside the FOMC: how the Fed targets the federal funds rate, how QE and QT work, and why each decision ripples through stocks, bonds, and mortgages.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags federal reserve, fomc, interest rates, investing basics, monetary policy, quantitative easing

Norway Hikes to 4.25%: Europe’s Lone Rate Riser in 2026

September 12, 2026May 7, 2026 by Bruno M.
Norway Hikes to 4.25%: Europe’s Lone Rate Riser in 2026

Norges Bank raised its benchmark rate to 4.25% on May 6, 2026 — the only major European central bank to hike this year — as Norway’s CPI stayed at 3.6%, well above target.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, european central banks, monetary policy divergence, norges bank, norway interest rate

Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs

September 12, 2026May 6, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs

The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% for a third straight meeting. With the 10-year yield near its 2026 high and investors pricing no cut until late 2027, capital markets face a prolonged high-rate environment.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fed pause 2027, federal reserve rate hold, fomc april 2026, treasury yields 2026

30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets

October 27, 2026May 5, 2026 by Bruno M.
30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.025% on May 4, 2026 — crossing a key threshold. Here’s what the curve’s steepest gap since 2022 signals for rates, mortgages, and capital markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags 30-year treasury yield, bond market, capital markets, federal reserve rates, mortgage rates, yield curve steepening
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