Fed Funds Futures Explained: How Markets Price Rate Cuts
Fed funds futures let traders bet on the path of the overnight rate. Here is how the contract works, and how CME FedWatch turns prices into cut probabilities.
fed funds futures
May PCE Hits 4.1%, Highest Since 2023; Hike Odds Jump to 68%
Headline PCE jumped to 4.1% YoY in May, core to 3.4%. September rate-hike odds surged to ~68% from 29% a week ago as Treasury yields wobbled.