30-Year Mortgage Rates Cross 7% as 10-Year Treasury Hits 5%
30-year fixed mortgage rates jumped back above 7% as the 10-year Treasury touched 5% and MBS spreads widened. Here is what is driving borrowing costs.
federal reserve rate cut
Fed Funds vs. 10-Year Treasury: Why Long-Term Rates Diverge
Why do 10-year Treasury yields move opposite to Fed rate cuts? Learn how the Fed sets overnight rates while markets price inflation, growth, and term premium.
August CPI Runs Hot on Gasoline; Core Cools to 2.4%
August CPI headline hit 0.4% MoM (3.4% YoY) on a 3.9% gasoline surge, but core cooled to 2.4% YoY. Bond market barely moved; futures rallied.
Fed Funds Futures Explained: How Markets Price Rate Cuts
Fed funds futures let traders bet on the path of the overnight rate. Here is how the contract works, and how CME FedWatch turns prices into cut probabilities.
July CPI Cools to 3.4%: Stocks Shrug, Fed Cut Path Clears
July 2026 CPI came in at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core, matching forecasts. Stocks nudged higher, yields dipped, and the September FOMC cut looks live.
Wall Street Braces for April CPI: Inflation Seen at 3.7%
April 2026 CPI data drops Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect inflation to hit 3.7%—the highest since September 2023—driven by Iran-related energy costs and tariff pass-throughs.