IMF Slashes 2026 Growth Forecasts: What Markets Need to Know
The IMF’s April 2026 WEO cuts global growth projections and raises inflation to 4.4%. What it means for bonds, equities, and the Fed.
federal reserve
Stagflation Warning: Hot CPI Meets Record-Low Consumer Sentiment
U.S. CPI surged 3.3% annually in March 2026—its biggest monthly jump since 2022—while consumer sentiment crashed to an all-time low of 47.6. Here’s what the double bind means for markets.
March PPI Cools: What It Means for Fed Rates and Bonds
March 2026 PPI rose just 0.5% vs 1.1% expected. Here’s what the wholesale inflation surprise means for Fed policy and bond markets.
Kevin Warsh at the Fed: What Markets Need to Know Before April 21
Trump’s Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh faces a Senate confirmation hearing April 21. Here’s what his hawkish track record means for rates, bonds, and equities.
Rate Cuts Delayed to 2027: What It Means for Bond Markets
The Fed’s Goolsbee signals rate cuts may wait until 2027 as March PPI hits a 3-year high. Here’s what the pause means for bonds and borrowing costs.
Stocks and Bonds Send a Rare Recession Warning in 2026
A rare alignment of stock and bond market warning signals — mirroring patterns seen before every U.S. recession since 1970 — is putting capital markets on edge.
Fed Rate-Cut Odds Hit 40% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Oil Fears
Money markets repriced Fed rate-cut odds from below 10% to 40% as US-Iran peace talk optimism sent oil prices lower. Here is what bond investors need to know.
Consumer Confidence Hits Record Low: Iran Energy Shock
US consumer confidence hit a record low in April 2026 as the Iran energy shock drives CPI to 3.3% and stagflation fears deepen across markets.
April CPI Surges 3.3%: What It Means for Rates and Stocks
April CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year with a 0.9% monthly spike—biggest jump since 2022. What it means for the Fed, bonds, and equities.
Wage Growth Divide Hits Decade High: Capital Markets Take Note
Wage growth inequality is at its widest since 2015. Here’s what the widening divide means for consumer credit, retail, and capital markets.