AI’s 10% GDP Promise: What Capital Markets Are Already Pricing In
BNP Paribas projects AI could lift U.S. GDP by more than 10% by 2034. Here’s what that forecast means for investors, interest rates, and capital markets right now.
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Oil at $100: Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Crisis Hits Capital Markets
Brent crude topped $100 as Iranian gunboats threaten the Strait of Hormuz. Here’s what the oil shock means for energy debt, sovereign bonds, and Fed policy.
Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds
Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.
Stagflation 2026: The Warning Signs Capital Markets Can’t Ignore
Sticky 3.3% inflation, oil price shocks, and a Fed frozen on rate cuts are reviving stagflation fears not seen since the 1970s. Here’s what capital markets are signaling.
The AI Hiring Freeze: What the Fed’s Beige Book Reveals
Fed’s Beige Book reveals AI productivity is shrinking corporate hiring — what it means for rate policy, bond markets, and equity valuations.
The Mortgage Lock-In Effect: Why Millions Won’t Move
Over half of U.S. homeowners hold COVID-era mortgages at sub-4% rates. How this lock-in is reshaping housing supply, MBS markets, and Fed policy in 2026.
The Next Fed Chair: What Capital Markets Face After Powell
Jerome Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026. With 30 days left, capital markets are weighing what comes next for interest rates, bonds, and the dollar.
Are Foreign Investors Selling U.S. Treasuries? August 2026 Data
August 2026 TIC data show foreign Treasury holdings rose overall even as Japan and China reduced positions. See the country and maturity breakdown.
Consumer Confidence Hits an All-Time Low: What UMich’s 47.6 Reading Means for Capital Markets
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic 47.6 in April 2026 — the worst reading ever recorded. Here is what it signals for bond markets, equity sectors, and Fed policy.
IMF Slashes 2026 Growth Forecasts: What Markets Need to Know
The IMF’s April 2026 WEO cuts global growth projections and raises inflation to 4.4%. What it means for bonds, equities, and the Fed.