After Hot CPI, Real Yields Rose but Breakevens Fell
The 10-year pushed near 5% after August CPI, but breakevens fell. Real yields did the work — a bond-market vote of confidence in the Fed.
capital markets
2027 Social Security COLA Tracks 3.5% After Hot August CPI
TSCL projects a 3.5% 2027 Social Security COLA after Aug CPI-W ran at 3.5% YoY, with capital-markets implications for Treasury issuance.
August PPI Hot: 0.4% M/M, 5.4% Y/Y on Diesel Jump
August 2026 PPI rose 0.4% m/m and 5.4% y/y as diesel jumped 24.1%. Re-accelerating wholesale prices lifted 10-year Treasury yields toward 5%.
PayPal Pauses Ventures Portfolio Sale as Bids Cap at 60 Cents
PayPal has paused the sale of its PayPal Ventures portfolio after secondary-market bids topped out near 60 cents on the dollar, exposing a VC discount.
Harvey Legal AI Hits $15.5B on $550M Series F Round
Harvey raised $550M at a $15.5B valuation, doubling its worth in six months as Diffusion and Lightspeed co-lead the legal AI unicorn’s Series F.
Listen Labs Walks $1.5B Round to Weigh $2B Salesforce Sale
AI customer-research startup Listen Labs shelved a $125M Menlo Series C at a $1.5B valuation to chase $2B Salesforce takeover talks — a 67x revenue multiple.
Oura Files for Nasdaq IPO: $1.2B Revenue, $61M Net Income
Smart-ring maker Oura files S-1 for a Nasdaq listing under ‘OURA’ — with $1.21B in 9-month revenue (+74% YoY), 5M paid members, and $61M in net income. Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JPM lead.
Cognition Hits $48B: $2B Series E as Devin Nears $1B ARR
Cognition raised $2B at a $48B valuation, nearly doubling from May’s $26B round as Devin’s ARR climbed from $492M to $900M in four months.
Boring Company Closes $20B Round on ‘Help or Forfeit’ Terms
Musk’s tunneling startup 3.5x’d its valuation in a $4B round — and made investors sign up for a role beyond writing checks.
Anthropic IPO Update: MS, Goldman Lead; October Launch Eyed
Anthropic taps Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to lead its IPO. Filing now targeting late September, with an October launch and a $15B pre-IPO credit line.