The Equity Risk Premium Has Nearly Vanished in 2026
With Treasury yields at 4.3% and stocks trading at 21x earnings, the equity risk premium has compressed to near zero. Here’s what that means.
Month: April 2026
Pentagon’s Drone Spending Boom: Which Defense Stocks to Watch
The Iran war proved drones are decisive in modern combat. Pentagon contracts are accelerating — here are the defense stocks analysts are watching in 2026.
Fannie Mae’s Crypto Mortgage: A Capital Markets Watershed
Fannie Mae has accepted the first crypto-backed mortgage product, a landmark step that could reshape housing finance and open new capital markets territory.
Equal-Weight ETFs Are Beating the S&P 500. Here’s Why It Matters.
S&P 500 mega-cap concentration is backfiring in 2026. Equal-weight ETFs like RSP are quietly outperforming. Here’s what that means for investors.
The Fed’s Next Move Could Be a Rate Hike, Not a Cut
Traders now see a Fed rate hike as more likely than a cut. Here’s what Treasury yields, FedWatch data, and bond markets are pricing in for 2026.
Brent Crude at $120: Implications for Inflation and the Fed
Brent crude topped $120 as the US-Iran ceasefire shows cracks. What a sustained oil shock means for inflation, Fed rate cuts, and global markets.
The Dollar Is Falling. What Capital Markets Are Telling Us.
The DXY is sliding as Iran ceasefire unwinds safe-haven trades. Here’s what dollar weakness means for bonds, commodities, emerging markets, and equities.
Tariff Fog: Why Wall Street Can’t Price the S&P 500
When tariff policy can reverse overnight, S&P 500 valuation becomes guesswork. Here’s how Wall Street is trying — and failing — to price it in.
Private Credit’s $2 Trillion Stress Test
Blue Owl’s redemption cap signals the first real cracks in private credit. Here’s what it means for borrowers, banks, and the $2 trillion market.
Sell in May: What Six Decades of Data Actually Show
The “Sell in May and Go Away” pattern is real but imperfect. Here is what six decades of S&P 500 data, academic research, and 2026 market conditions actually reveal.