March CPI Cools More Than Expected, Reigniting Rate Cut Bets
March 2026 CPI data came in below forecasts, sending bond yields lower and reviving expectations for Fed rate cuts later this year.
capital markets
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Stalls — Markets Take Notice
Kevin Warsh’s expected Fed Chair confirmation hearing has been delayed. Here’s what the nomination snag means for bonds, the dollar, and equities.
China’s Factory Deflation Ends: What It Means for Bond Markets
China’s factory prices turned positive for the first time in 3 years, driven by surging oil. Here’s what that global shift means for bonds and Fed policy.
The Equity Risk Premium Has Nearly Vanished in 2026
With Treasury yields at 4.3% and stocks trading at 21x earnings, the equity risk premium has compressed to near zero. Here’s what that means.
Fannie Mae’s Crypto Mortgage: A Capital Markets Watershed
Fannie Mae has accepted the first crypto-backed mortgage product, a landmark step that could reshape housing finance and open new capital markets territory.
The Fed’s Next Move Could Be a Rate Hike, Not a Cut
Traders now see a Fed rate hike as more likely than a cut. Here’s what Treasury yields, FedWatch data, and bond markets are pricing in for 2026.
Brent Crude at $120: Implications for Inflation and the Fed
Brent crude topped $120 as the US-Iran ceasefire shows cracks. What a sustained oil shock means for inflation, Fed rate cuts, and global markets.
The Dollar Is Falling. What Capital Markets Are Telling Us.
The DXY is sliding as Iran ceasefire unwinds safe-haven trades. Here’s what dollar weakness means for bonds, commodities, emerging markets, and equities.
Private Credit’s $2 Trillion Stress Test
Blue Owl’s redemption cap signals the first real cracks in private credit. Here’s what it means for borrowers, banks, and the $2 trillion market.
March Jobs Report: Strong Payrolls Hold Treasury Yields Steady
March’s stronger-than-expected payrolls kept Treasury yields firm, pushing back rate cut timelines as the Fed navigates oil-driven inflation.