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bond market

Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs

September 12, 2026May 6, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed’s Third Rate Hold Drives Yields Toward 2026 Highs

The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% for a third straight meeting. With the 10-year yield near its 2026 high and investors pricing no cut until late 2027, capital markets face a prolonged high-rate environment.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fed pause 2027, federal reserve rate hold, fomc april 2026, treasury yields 2026

30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets

September 12, 2026May 5, 2026 by Bruno M.
30-Year Treasury Crosses 5%: What It Means for Mortgages and Markets

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.025% on May 4, 2026 — crossing a key threshold. Here’s what the curve’s steepest gap since 2022 signals for rates, mortgages, and capital markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags 30-year treasury yield, bond market, capital markets, federal reserve rates, mortgage rates, yield curve steepening

Junk Bonds Beat Long Treasuries in 2026: What Credit Markets Signal

September 12, 2026May 4, 2026 by Bruno M.
Junk Bonds Beat Long Treasuries in 2026: What Credit Markets Signal

High yield bonds have delivered 9% one-year returns while long-duration Treasuries struggle near breakeven. Here’s what the 2026 credit divergence means.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, credit spreads, high yield bonds, JNK ETF, treasury yields

Fed’s 8-4 Split Forces Bond Traders to Hedge Both Ways

September 12, 2026May 2, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed’s 8-4 Split Forces Bond Traders to Hedge Both Ways

The April 29 FOMC meeting ended in an 8-4 split — the Fed’s most divided vote in years, with dissenters on both sides. Here’s what it means for Treasury yields.

Categories Capital Markets Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, fomc dissent, interest rate risk, treasury yields

The Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Inversion, and What It Signals

September 12, 2026April 29, 2026 by Bruno M.
The Yield Curve Explained: Shapes, Inversion, and What It Signals

Learn how the yield curve works, why it inverts, and what historical inversions have meant for the US economy — with verified current Treasury yield data from the Federal Reserve.

Categories Market Education Tags bond market, federal reserve rates, investing basics, treasury yields, yield curve, yield curve inversion

Fed Holds at 3.50–3.75%: Bond Markets Navigate a 16-Month Rate Pause

September 12, 2026April 29, 2026 by Bruno M.
Fed Holds at 3.50–3.75%: Bond Markets Navigate a 16-Month Rate Pause

The FOMC’s April 29 decision leaves the federal funds rate unchanged for a 16th consecutive month, as Treasury yields hold firm and corporate borrowers weigh their next move.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, corporate bonds, federal reserve rate hold, fomc april 2026, treasury yields 2026

US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields

September 12, 2026April 26, 2026 by Bruno M.
US Treasury’s $10T Rollover: Weak Demand and Rising Yields

The US must roll over ~$10 trillion in Treasury debt in 2026 at yields far higher than original issue. What auction data and foreign holder trends reveal.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Market Trend Tags bond market, capital markets, federal debt, treasury bonds, treasury yields, us debt rollover

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Path: Bond Markets Brace for Shift

September 12, 2026April 26, 2026 by Bruno M.
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair Path: Bond Markets Brace for Shift

Senate Banking Committee votes this week on Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination. Bond markets are already pricing a hawkish shift — here’s what capital markets are watching.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates, Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy, treasury yields

Kevin Warsh Fed Nomination: What It Signals for Rates and Bonds

September 12, 2026April 20, 2026 by Bruno M.

Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing sent measured signals through bond markets and rate desks. Here’s what his nomination means for monetary policy, Treasury yields, and credit markets.

Categories Federal Reserve & Rates Tags bond market, capital markets, federal reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, treasury yields

The Yield Curve Is Steepening: What It Signals in 2026

September 12, 2026April 18, 2026 by Bruno M.

The 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.25% as the curve re-steepens after years of inversion. What it signals for banks, mortgages, and equities.

Categories Stock Market Tags bond market, capital markets, fixed income, interest rates, treasury yields
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