Polymarket’s Iran Bets Raise Prediction Market Reckoning
Newly created Polymarket accounts placed big ceasefire bets hours before Trump’s announcement. Are prediction markets becoming a haven for insider trading?
Iran ceasefire
Chip Stocks Surge on Ceasefire — But Helium Was the Real Risk
SK Hynix surged 15%, TSMC 4.8%, Tokyo Electron 10% on ceasefire news. The hidden driver: Iran had been strangling the chip industry’s helium supply.