ECMSource Research Workbench · Expectations
Start with an enterprise value and a future valuation multiple, then calculate the revenue and annual growth required to reach that assumption.
Set the assumptions
Use the same currency units for enterprise value and revenue.
Interpret these results with the filing notes and management discussion. A calculated change is not automatically positive or negative for the investment.
What this answers
The result estimates the final-year revenue needed for the chosen enterprise value to equal the selected EV/revenue multiple, then calculates the compound annual growth rate from current revenue.
It does not calculate intrinsic value. It holds enterprise value fixed, ignores interim cash generation, debt changes, dilution, acquisitions, margins, taxes, and discount rates.
Core formulas
Required final revenue = enterprise value / final EV-to-revenue multiple
Required annual growth = (required final revenue / current revenue)^(1 / years) − 1
This is an expectations test. A complete valuation also needs profitability, reinvestment requirements, financing, risk, and a range of outcomes.
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